Update July 7

Liberal candidate Julia Banks has declared victory in the Victorian seat of Chisholm.

Candidate Julie Banks issued a statement on Thursday night saying she was humbled by the result achieved in Chisholm and thanked the community for electing her.

The seat, previously held by retiring Labor MP Anna Burke, was one of eight seats in doubt following Saturday's election.

Ms Banks edged out Labor opponent Stefanie Perri by 1420 votes on a two party preferred basis and bucked the trend against the coalition - with a 2.57 per cent swing for the Liberals.

The seat was given to the Liberals on the night of the election but late counting favoured Labor's Stefanie Perri.


July 3

Despite a statewide swing to Labor, the party's greatest achievement in Victoria has been holding on to what it already has.

The party might yet manage to keep its eastern Melbourne seat of Chisholm, and has managed to fend off strong Greens challenges in several inner-city seats, especially Batman.

While Labor does not look likely to take any seats off the Liberal Party, it has an outside chance in the Liberal-held seat of LaTrobe, which is too close to call, but is expected to be retained by Liberal incumbent, Jason Wood.  

In the other close seat of Dunkley, Labor appears unlikely to have enough support.

Chisholm has been in play following the resignation of popular Labor member and former Speaker, Anna Burke.  The long-running dispute, about potential unionistion of the Country Fire Authority may have also helped the Liberals’ chances.

In his speech on election night, Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull praised the Liberal candidate in Chisholm, Julia Banks, for her success.

The Liberals also retained the Bellarine Peninsula seat of Corangamite, despite a swing against sitting MP Sarah Henderson. Again the CFA dispute didn’t help Labor’s campaign.

The Greens are still fighting in Batman, where Alex Bhathal hopes to unseat Labor’s David Feeney. The count is very close but looks likely to favor Labor.

Cathy McGowan has retained Indi, easily seeing off a challenge from former Liberal member Sophie Mirabella and the Nationals’ Marty Corboy.  McGowan may have a prominent and important role to play in a hung parliament.

The Nationals have won back Murray after the retirement of Liberal member, Sharman Stone. The successful candidate, Damian Drum, will vacate his seat in the Victorian Parliament for a new one in Canberra.  

Labor has done well in its safe seats.

For example, in Calwell, MP Maria Vamvakinou had a positive swing of 8.9%.

Labor will continue to hold the federal seat of Bruce, where Julian Hill replaces retired Labor MP Alan Griffin after receiving 45.38% of the primary vote.

Opposition leader Bill Shorten received 51.2% of first preferences in his seat of Maribyrnong.

Labor frontbencher Brendon O’Connor received a strong 12.2% swing in his seat of Gorton.

Labor MP Lisa Chesters retains the marginal seat of Bendigo, with a 2.1% swing toward her.

Labor has maintained its hold over Holt, with MP Anthony Byrne receiving 54.5% of votes and a 6.3% swing towards him.

Labor MP Rob Mitchell has retained McEwen, historically one of Victoria’s most marginal electorates, after receiving 45.8% of votes and an 8.2% swing towards him.

Labor MP Mark Dreyfus has retained Isaacs with 44.7% of primary votes.

With nearly 60% of votes counted, Labor MP Clare O’Neil keeps her seat in Hotham, in front of Liberal Candidate George Hua.

Labor MP Michael Danby retains Melbourne Ports, after controversially directing preferences to the Liberals ahead of the Greens.

Labor has also held Ballarat, Corio, Gellibrand, Lalor and Wills.

Senator Kim Carr said he remains hopeful Labor will continue to Chisholm, where Labor’s Stefanie Perri is in a tight battle against Liberal candidate Julia Banks.

In Batman, Labor’s David Feeney leads the two-party preferred vote by less than 1%. He stands in the way of the Greens taking a second Victorian electorate.

How did the Liberal Party stack up?

Most significantly, the Liberal Party has held its marginal seats of Corangamite, Dunkley and La Trobe.

In its safer seats the party has done well. For example, in Goldstein prominent candidate Tim Wilson received 55.7% of primary votes, compared to 22.3% for Labor’s Matthew Ross Coote, after 72% votes counted.

In Kooyong, Liberal MP Josh Frydenberg has been re-elected for his third term after gaining 57.7% of votes. Labor candidate Marg D’arcy received 20.4% of votes after 69% votes counted.

Liberal MP Kevin Andrews has been re-elected to the seat of Menzies, for his ninth term.

Liberal MP Alan Tudge has retained Aston with 50.9% in votes after 76.3% counted.

Michael Sukkar holds Deakin, with 49.4% of primary votes.

With 51.5%, Liberal MP Kelly O’Dwyer has retained Higgins despite a 2.9% swing away from the party.

Flinders, Casey Kooyong, Menzies, McMillan and Wannon were all held by the Liberals.

The Greens, Nationals and Independents

Adam Bandt has succeeded in representing the Greens for his third term as the member for Melbourne.

The National Party has increased its representation in Victoria.

Darren Chester has retained the federal seat for Gippsland with 57.2% of votes and a 3.4% swing towards him after 85% of the count.

The Nationals also holds Mallee, which Andrew Broad has represented since 2013. His primary vote is 64.6%, after 81.6% of votes counted.

Joining them is Damian Drum, who has been elected to represent the seat of Murray after fending off a Liberal opponent.

Independent Cathy McGowan retains her seat of Indi, and remains the only

Victorian independent to hold a seat in the House of Representatives. 

Senate

The most significant result is the probable arrival of Derryn Hinch as a senator. Ricky Muir has not been returned. The Greens are likely to win two seats, with Labor and the Coalition picking up at least four each. The results for the other two senate spots are unclear.