August 2

The election in WA is finally over.

Labor now holds five Lower House seats – Brand, Burt, Cowan, Fremantle and Perth – and the Liberals hold 11.

The ALP claimed the new seat of Burt and the hotly contested seat of Cowan.

After a month long marathon count in the Senate the AEC has declared who the senators from WA are.

The Liberals now hold five seats and the ALP four having reclaimed a seat for former senator Louise Pratt from the Liberals.

The Greens have retained both Scott Ludlam's and Rachel Siewert’s seats.

One Nation’s Rod Culleton has scooped up a seat from Palmer United’s Zhenya (Dio) Wang officially eliminating the party from Parliament.


July 11

Greens preferences, and scrutineering, appear to have decided the fate of Cowan.

With 200 votes for The Greens found to be in a pile of votes for Liberal incumbent by mistake by a Greens scrutineer the ALP’s victory has been cemented with the absentee votes not expected to change the leadership.

Around 160 of the votes directed preferences to Anne Aly providing a much needed boost in her lead over Luke Simpkins.

WA Labor has called this their victory though with a significant number of postal votes, that so far appear to favour the Liberals, and absentee votes that appear to favour Labor it looks like even this will not stop Cowan being a photo-finish.

In a statement to the ABC, AEC State Manager Marie Neilson said the find was all part of the checks and balances of our democratic process.

“A fresh scrutiny of votes… has identified 200 votes that were attributed to the Liberal candidate originally on election night, and that should instead have been allocated to the Greens candidate.”

“It's just part of our normal checks and balances that we've discovered this 200 votes in the wrong pile and they've now been moved to where they should have been allocated on Saturday night," she said.


July 6

As the count continues in WA and reports of polling booths running out of ballots in a number of locations across the state continue to mount the surprise news is the potential disqualification of lead One Nation candidate, Rod Culleton.

Culleton looked set to be a contender for a seat in the Senate but reports he is awaiting sentencing on a stealing conviction in NSW may disqualify him from taking the seat.

The Australian Constitution disqualifies those convicted and under sentence or subject to a sentence for an offence under Commonwealth or State Law if that sentence is greater than one year. Stealing in NSW carries a maximum penalty of up to five years.

Overall 10 of the available 12 seats have been won or are likely to be won.

Notionally the Liberals have won or are likely to win 5 seats, the ALP to win four and the Greens to win 1.

In the Lower House all the seats save Cowan look to have been decided with the ALP retaining three and picking up the seat of Burt.

The Liberals have staved of fightbacks from junior Coalition partners the Nationals in the Bush retain 11 of their 12 seats.

The count for Cowan continues with predictions still leaning toward a victory for Labor’s counter-terrorism expert Anne Aly.


July 3

Despite an unpopular Coalition State Government in WA Labor looks set to scoop up only two more seats in the state.

In the new seat of Burt, Matt Keogh claimed victory from the Liberal's Matt O’Sullivan, bouyed by preferences from the Greens' Muhammad Salman.

The second likely gain is Cowan, where counter-terrorism expert Anne Aly was pitted against noted Liberal anti-halal proponent Luke Simpkins/ Although neither has claimed victory the expectation is for a Labor victory.

Other seats of interest are Perth, where the Liberals have fought hard, and Tangney where dumped former Liberal MP, Dennis Jensen, sought to retain his seat as an Independent. Jensen won 12% of the primary putting him on par with The Greens' Thor Kerr.

In the country, there were no surprises in Forrest. Liberal incumbent, Nola Marino, claimed victory easily. The final count may reveal a continued decline in the Liberal vote in the safe seat marking an increased need for preferences to hold the seat.

In Durack and O’Connor, the Liberals have held on despite attempts to claim the seats by the Nationals. Even a rebellious Labor candidate choosing to preference the Nationals ahead of the Liberals in Durack is unlikely to help them across the line.

Across the state there has been a general 2.7% swing away from the Coalition and a resurgent 4.4% swing to the ALP. The Green vote in the state has also grown with a 2% swing to the party.

As the count continues across WA the flow of preferences is likely to have significant consequences. In Hasluck and O’Connor the preference flow is likely to ensure Liberal candidates retain the seats ahead of Labor and the Nationals respectively.

The swing away for the Coalition, although less than expected given the State Government’s unpopularity, must boost the hopes of WA Labor in the lead up to the state election in March 2017.